Conf = NESCAC Region = New England State = ME Nickname = Polar Bears Coach = Liz Grote
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.2155914
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
305 H Roger Williams Comm. Coast (15- 7, 88.5) 17- 9
308 H Middlebury NESCAC (21- 0, 99.9) 9-15
311 A Hamilton NESCAC ( 5-10, 89.7) 11- 8
314 A William Smith Liberty Leagu (21- 0, 94.1) 11-19
318 H Williams NESCAC (10- 6, 92.4) 11-12
321 A Plymouth State Little East (12- 7, 79.9) 19- 2
325 A Wesleyan NESCAC (15- 4, 96.2) 5-14
329 H MIT NEWMAC (16- 4, 89.6) 9-14
401 H Amherst NESCAC ( 9- 6, 91.5) 8-11
405 A Bates NESCAC ( 5-10, 86.1) 18- 8
408 H Trinity NESCAC (13- 6, 93.0) 8-22
412 H Colby NESCAC (14- 6, 94.3) 9-20
419 H Endicott Comm. Coast (11- 8, 85.5) 23-13
422 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5- 9, 86.6) 15-10
426 A Tufts NESCAC (16- 5, 93.9) 15-18
429 A Middlebury NESCAC (21- 0, 99.9) 6-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
305 H Roger Williams 17- 9 8 2 ++ 4.69
308 H Middlebury 9-15 -6 -9 1.00
311 A Hamilton 11- 8 3 0 + 3.07
314 A William Smith 11-19 -8 -4 - -2.49
318 H Williams 11-12 -1 -1 0.53
321 A Plymouth State 19- 2 17 9 0.00
325 A Wesleyan 5-14 -9 -6 -0.41
329 H MIT 9-14 -5 1 --- -6.21
401 H Amherst 8-11 -3 0 - -2.33
405 A Bates 18- 8 10 3 + 3.54
408 H Trinity 8-22 -14 -2 -- -4.88
412 H Colby 9-20 -11 -3 - -3.50
419 H Endicott 23-13 10 5 1.67
422 A Connecticut College 15-10 5 2 + 2.06
426 A Tufts 15-18 -3 -4 1.34
429 A Middlebury 6-16 -10 -10 0.00
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
329 H MIT 9-14 -5 1 --- -6.21
408 H Trinity 8-22 -14 -2 -- -4.88
314 A William Smith 11-19 -8 -4 - -2.49
401 H Amherst 8-11 -3 0 - -2.33
412 H Colby 9-20 -11 -3 - -3.50
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
305 H Roger Williams 17- 9 8 2 ++ 4.69
311 A Hamilton 11- 8 3 0 + 3.07
405 A Bates 18- 8 10 3 + 3.54
422 A Connecticut College 15-10 5 2 + 2.06
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING
Power Rating............. 90.22 Power Rank................. 17
SOS (PR) Rating.......... 80.18 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 2
SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7375 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 11
RPI Rating............... .5895 RPI Rank................... 47
Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 27
Selection sum ........... 166 Selection Rank ............ 45
Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -75. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 87
Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -100. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 108
PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING
Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 13.2
Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.1
Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5).....
Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.0
Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.5
Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7